Program > Papers by author > Gente Karine

Production Network and International Fiscal Spillovers
Karine Gente  1@  , Mick Devereux  2@  , Changhua Yu  3@  
1 : GREQAM - AMSE
Aix Marseille Université
2 : Vancouver School of Economics, University of British Columbia  (UBC)  -  Website
Vancouver Campus, , 2329 West Mall, Vancouver, BC Canada V6T 1Z4 - Okanagan Campus, 3333 University Way, Kelowna, BC Canada V1V 1V7 -  Canada
3 : China Center for Economic Research, National School of Development, Peking University

This paper analyzes the impact of fiscal spending shocks in a multi-country model with international

production networks. In contrast to standard results suggesting that production network

linkages are unimportant for the aggregate response to macro shocks in a closed economy, we show

that network structures may place a central role in the international propagation of fiscal shocks,

particularly when wages are slow to adjust. The paper first develops a simple general equilibrium

multi-country model and derives some analytical results on the response to fiscal spending shocks.

We then apply the model to an analysis of fiscal spillovers in the Eurozone, using the calibrated sectoral

network structure from the World Input Output Database (WIOD). In a version of the model

with sticky wages, we find that fiscal spillovers from Germany and other some other large Eurozone

countries may be large, and within the range of empirical estimates. More importantly, we find that

the Eurozone production network very important for the international spillovers. In the absence of

international production network linkages, spillovers would be only a third as large as predicted by

the baseline model. Finally, we explore the diffusion of identified German government spending at

the sectoral level, both within and across countries. We find that government expenditures have both

significant upstream and downstream effects when these links are measured by the direction of sectoral

production linkages.


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