Sovereign Risk, Financial Fragility and Debt Maturity
1 : Aix-Marseille University, AMSE
I2M, UMR 7373, Université d'Aix-Marseille
This paper investigates the macroeconomic and welfare effects of altering debt maturity
during a sovereign debt crisis in which sovereign and bank risk are intertwined. My main
finding is that shifting towards short-term maturities alleviates the bankers' capital losses from
the crisis and moderates the recession at the cost of higher levels of public debt in the future.
In contrast, lengthening the maturity structure is more effective in reducing the households'
welfare losses as it leads to a lower sovereign default risk and lower distortionary labor taxes by
reducing the level of debt. An optimized joint policy of debt maturity and public spending is
able to fully neutralize the welfare losses and to mitigate the economic downturn.