Program > Papers by author > Yoo Donghoon

Confidence, Fundamentals, and Consumption
Jean-Paul L'huillier  1@  , Robert Waldmann  2@  , Donghoon Yoo  3, *@  
1 : Brandeis University
2 : University of Rome "Tor Vergata"
3 : Institute of Social and Economic Research (ISER), Osaka University  -  Website
* : Corresponding author

We propose to measure consumer confidence by exploiting a discrepancy between observed productivity and information available to consumers using national accounts based on a simple consumption model. With a standard signal extraction with noisy information, we estimate model-based filtered consumer confidence indices for the U.S. and fifteen European countries. Since national accounts are internationally consistent and coherent for measuring activity, a structural method based on national accounts can provide a measure for consumer confidence that is internationally consistent.


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