Program > Papers by author > Winant Pablo

Will Artfificial Intelligence Replace Computational Economists Any Time Soon?
Pablo Winant  1, 2, *@  , Lilia Maliar  3@  , Serguei Maliar  4@  
1 : Ecole Supérieure de Commerce de Paris  (ESCP)
Ecole Supérieure de Commerce de Paris
2 : Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique (CREST)
Centre de Recherche en Économie et STatistique (CREST)
3 : CUNY Graduate Center  (The Graduate Center)  -  Website
New York, NY 10016 -  United States
4 : Santa Clara University
* : Corresponding author

Articial intelligence (AI) has impressive applications in many elds (speech recognition, computer vision, etc.). This paper demonstrates that AI can be also used to analyze complex and high-dimensional dynamic economic models. We show how to convert three fundamental objects of economic dynamics lifetime reward, Bellman equation and Euler equation into objective functions suitable for deep learning (DL). We introduce all-in-one integration technique that makes the stochastic gradient unbiased for the constructed objective functions. We show how to use neural networks to deal with multicollinearity and perform model reduction in Krusell and Smiths (1998) model in which decision functions depend on thousands of state variables (we literally feed distributions into neural networks!) In our examples, the DL method is reliable, accurate and linearly scalable. Our ubiquitous Python code, built with Dolo and Google TensorFlow platforms, is designed to accommodate a variety of models and applications.


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